Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 6.194770 6.826186 7.524547 8.360046 9.340196 10.463373 11.862191
2024-10-20 5.059688 5.855600 6.804697 8.040403 9.638698 11.683992 14.583713
2024-10-27 4.429060 5.288367 6.364490 7.848588 9.907012 12.771188 17.284524
2024-11-03 4.029110 4.927409 6.096094 7.784192 10.266200 13.982318 20.443356
2024-11-10 3.897996 4.884868 6.220420 8.246973 11.424722 16.603014 26.768083
2024-11-17 3.702730 4.727602 6.157597 8.414212 12.145333 18.685902 33.048390
2024-11-24 3.448856 4.461509 5.905358 8.249343 12.280527 19.756297 37.750255
2024-12-01 3.269094 4.283588 5.761315 8.229615 12.649970 21.353123 44.581295
2024-12-08 3.073252 4.066025 5.535712 8.044943 12.683718 22.270605 50.224767
2024-12-15 2.934879 3.922766 5.410623 8.011587 12.990909 23.862273 59.107215
2024-12-22 2.806831 3.785692 5.282775 7.956341 13.242132 25.400531 69.277405
2024-12-29 2.761762 3.771245 5.348162 8.249631 14.256260 29.184417 93.193486
2025-01-05 2.591177 3.561681 5.094992 7.962354 14.051881 29.873744 105.406005
2025-01-12 2.429912 3.359729 4.843778 7.660088 13.783124 30.371705 118.560541
2025-01-19 2.305822 3.209139 4.667409 7.481119 13.765195 31.648945 140.553393
2025-01-26 2.213192 3.103180 4.558663 7.421094 14.018038 33.939668 179.074625
2025-02-02 2.205551 3.133773 4.687594 7.851924 15.587540 41.848249 332.845014
2025-02-09 2.156101 3.091801 4.683847 8.007413 16.490444 48.027644 576.194823
2025-02-16 2.067494 2.979188 4.543868 7.854128 16.505239 50.378820 806.679483
2025-02-23 2.003576 2.904987 4.469201 7.835779 16.910354 55.027377 1432.547207
2025-03-02 1.924397 2.800879 4.332306 7.663945 16.822483 57.108362 2236.403696
2025-03-09 1.868202 2.733669 4.260470 7.632893 17.168126 62.074585 5600.759495
2025-03-16 1.813188 2.665911 4.183304 7.581455 17.441722 67.014077 24343.240007